
Larger portfolios to drive more rightsizing
Uncertainty surrounding the long-term impact of hybrid work has translated into varying approaches to space planning over the past three years, with nearly 23% of respondents reporting portfolio growth and 44% portfolio contraction since the start of the pandemic. Downsizing was more prominent among technology and financial services firms, with 64% reporting reducing their portfolio size over the past three years.
More than half of respondents anticipate further rightsizing of their portfolio in the next three years. Most of this sentiment is for portfolios becoming up to 30% smaller. Larger companies will drive this portfolio downsizing: 68% of the largest companies in the survey (>10,000 employees) plan downsizings compared with 46% of all other respondents. For all surveyed companies planning to downsize their real estate portfolio, 87% say they require less space due to the increase in hybrid work. However, 31% say they plan to downsize because of inefficiencies in their portfolio that predated the pandemic, while another 27% are doing so to reduce costs.
Only 36% of the smallest companies surveyed—those with less than 1,000 employees—plan to reduce their office space. Eighty-eight percent of office-using businesses in the U.S. have less than 1,000 employees. Therefore, smaller requirements should remain the norm for future office leasing activity.
Figure 17: Real Estate Portfolio Status
Source: CBRE Research, April 2023.
Optimizing current portfolios
Most companies are focused on renewing their existing office leases to prevent operational disruptions, negotiate better lease terms or perhaps avoid costly build-outs. This is particularly true for large tenants perhaps due to the negotiating power their size and credit may hold with some landlords. Given the current capital markets environment, tenants should conduct due diligence on their current landlord and fully understand the capital stack of the building, the debt coming due and other lease expirations or vacancies in the building. This will help the tenant to fully understand its leverage and ensure the correct safeguards are negotiated into the transaction.
Tenants should conduct due diligence
on their current landlord
Figure 18: Occupier Strategies for Portfolio Optimization
Source: CBRE Research, April 2023.
As evidenced by increases in the office vacancy rate and the amount of sublease space since the start of the pandemic, tenants are rightsizing their office portfolios by consolidating into their preferred locations and either subleasing any excess space or eliminating it upon lease expiration. The sublease market is currently saturated, making this option less viable depending on size, locations and remaining lease term. Although nearly half of respondents indicated they are executing space optimization upon lease expirations, fewer say they are exploring it as an option, which may signal that space returned to the market is about to slow.
Tenants are rightsizing their
office portfolios by consolidating
into their preferred locations
Figure 19: Downsizing Strategies for Portfolio Optimization
Source: CBRE Research, April 2023.
Upgrading future portfolios
Survey results clearly indicate a flight to quality, with 32% of respondents relocating to better-quality space and 25% exploring the option. This flight-to-quality trend is not just focused on the building but also the neighborhood in which it is located. Mixed-use districts anchored by trophy office buildings are among the most appealing locations.
A recent brief by CBRE Econometric Advisors highlights that “live-work-shop” districts—dense, walkable areas that combine modern office space, housing and high-end experiential retail—are outperforming the broader market in which they reside.
“Live-work-shop” districts are
outperforming the broader
market in which they reside
Figure 20: Strategies for Upgrading Office Portfolios
Source: CBRE Research, April 2023.
Building amenities that matter
Sixty-seven percent of U.S. respondents to CBRE’s Global Live-Work-Shop Survey said that they place more importance on the quality of their working environment than they did pre-pandemic, likely because they have more choices today. Building amenities have an impact on decision-makers who are trying to balance employee experience, health & wellness, sustainability and efficiency.